Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.194141 0.220948 0.249716 0.282836 0.319867 0.359946 0.406557
2025-12-14 0.156600 0.192069 0.232684 0.282464 0.341652 0.409588 0.493273
2025-12-21 0.130647 0.170957 0.219761 0.282839 0.361805 0.456958 0.579818
2025-12-28 0.113019 0.156638 0.212110 0.287203 0.385484 0.508935 0.674807
2026-01-04 0.100400 0.146539 0.207854 0.294335 0.412030 0.565307 0.778462
2026-01-11 0.088703 0.135857 0.201124 0.296719 0.431523 0.612908 0.873055
2026-01-18 0.080111 0.128259 0.197434 0.302280 0.454944 0.666449 0.978232
2026-01-25 0.073616 0.122806 0.195950 0.310343 0.481835 0.725781 1.094361
2026-02-01 0.065816 0.114338 0.188963 0.309298 0.494863 0.765625 1.184498
2026-02-08 0.059064 0.106677 0.182304 0.307844 0.506659 0.803750 1.273594
2026-02-15 0.053216 0.099786 0.176079 0.306277 0.517736 0.840900 1.362655
2026-02-22 0.049704 0.096445 0.175201 0.313006 0.541953 0.898943 1.486023
2026-03-01 0.045129 0.090865 0.170293 0.313041 0.555987 0.942951 1.591797
2026-03-08 0.041053 0.085717 0.165612 0.312984 0.569726 0.987125 1.700157
2026-03-15 0.037532 0.081191 0.161562 0.313582 0.584421 1.033442 1.814205
2026-03-22 0.034981 0.078241 0.160053 0.318470 0.606641 1.093121 1.952943
2026-03-29 0.033057 0.076316 0.160235 0.326352 0.634470 1.163469 2.112722
2026-04-05 0.030678 0.073163 0.157754 0.328996 0.652945 1.218661 2.249390
2026-04-12 0.028908 0.071093 0.157168 0.335114 0.677996 1.286315 2.410423
2026-04-19 0.027566 0.069801 0.157996 0.343970 0.708554 1.365000 2.594103
2026-04-26 0.025361 0.066296 0.153963 0.342828 0.720038 1.410087 2.720460
2026-05-03 0.023324 0.062931 0.149894 0.341235 0.730421 1.453498 2.845555
2026-05-10 0.021466 0.059763 0.145940 0.339517 0.740331 1.496334 2.971298